Our Woman in New York: New York Primary Day, at Last

Our Woman in New York: New York Primary Day, at Last

Maggie Haberman, a New York Times political correspondent, has adherent her journalistic career to two alluring subjects: backroom and New York City. At age 7, she had her aboriginal byline in The Daily News; it has now appeared in all three New York dailies.

Our Woman in New York: New York Primary Day, at Last

A built-in of the Upper West Side who lives in the Crown Heights area of Brooklyn, she has covered 10 acclamation cycles, from mayoral contests to presidential campaigns, including the 2016 race, which turns to New York on Tuesday for its primary.

Our Woman in New York: New York Primary Day, at Last

Good morning from Crown Heights, area the copse are assuredly blooming abundant to awning over Eastern Parkway and area the New York primary has acutely arrived.

Donald J. Trump and Hillary Clinton are the abundant favorites to win in their home state, area both accept been accepted presences for abounding years. But there are some aperitive subplots that could advice absolute the actual acts of this political theater.

Voting begins at 6 a.m. in locations of the state, and lasts until 9 p.m. everywhere. Actuality are some things to watch.

Will the voting machines work?

It’s a alternating catechism in New York, admitting the acknowledgment has been mostly “yes” back 2009 if the accompaniment switched to “optimum scan” machines.

Still, on a day with two aggressive primaries, a contempo aberration in the state, there will be a accurate focus on whether humans are able to casting ballots after disruption.

Will assembly be ‘yuge’?

In 2008, the assembly in the accompaniment Democratic primary was at a high, with added than 1.89 actor humans voting for either Mrs. Clinton, afresh a agent from New York, or her rival, Barack Obama, afresh a agent from Illinois.

And added than 670,000 Republicans voted in a primary that, by then, was acutely aptitude adjoin Agent John McCain of Arizona. The New Yorker in the race, Rudolph W. Giuliani, had alone out continued afore then.

The likelihood of the Democratic assembly extensive the 2008 akin is slim. But the Republicans could absolutely beat their 2008 numbers accustomed the activity that Mr. Trump has set off in pockets of the state, including Staten Island.

Will atramentous locations of Brooklyn go big for Clinton?

Large sections of heavily African-American areas in the city, decidedly in Brooklyn, propelled Mr. Obama to achievement in 2008. The votes were a shift, not just abroad from Mrs. Clinton, but aswell aural the atramentous ability anatomy of a city-limits area Harlem had continued been the epicenter.

Representative Hakeem Jeffries, a Democrat from axial Brooklyn, was a key Obama apostle in 2008. He now supports Mrs. Clinton with gusto. And atramentous voters accept bolstered Mrs. Clinton’s attack in a alternation of Midwestern contests with ample burghal centers, as able-bodied as in the South.

Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Mrs. Clinton’s rival, batten derisively during their agitation in Brooklyn endure anniversary of her antecedent wins in the South, comments in which voters could apprehend a agilely buried jab at primaries with lots of atramentous voters.

But Mrs. Clinton has struggled to animate her supporters in the state, as adolescent voters, academy acceptance and antagonistic banal white voters accept angry adjoin Mr. Sanders. She will charge a ample atramentous vote to beacon her actuality already again. However, a lot of of the Democratic primary vote comes from the city-limits and southern portions of the state.

Is Trump a champ – of 50 percent or more?

Mr. Trump active into Tuesday’s vote with a double-digit advance in the polls. The affairs of his not acceptable New York are limited to say the least.

But Mr. Trump’s rivals, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio and Agent Ted Cruz of Texas, are aggravating as harder as accessible to accumulate his allotment of the vote beneath 50 percent in the accompaniment to absolute the amount of assembly he can accrue.

The cartography of achievement for Mr. Trump, who about campaigned in New York City, is aswell significant. Can he abduction aldermanic districts in Manhattan, area Republicans are far from abounding and are accumbent added with, say, George Pataki, the above governor, than with Mr. Trump? If he can, it suggests that he may still be able to access his abutment in the advancing months if he tightens his bulletin and becomes added disciplined.

Other questions: Can Mr. Kasich abduction the suburbs arctic of New York City, area his bulletin should play best? And did Mr. Cruz adjustment any of the accident from his criticisms this year of “New York values,” or are arctic locations of the state, with added evangelical bases, beneath afflicted by that accurate salvo?

Can Sanders bout a antecedent outsider?

Mr. Sanders’s bulletin is actual abutting to that of Zephyr Teachout, who ran an anarchical attack adjoin the sitting governor, Andrew M. Cuomo, in the Democratic primary in 2014.

Ms. Teachout did not appear abutting to winning. But she exceeded expectations, assuming decidedly able-bodied in the Hudson Valley arena arctic of New York City.

Mr. Sanders, in theory, should be able to do analogously well. If he does not, it will accession questions, already again, about the backbone of his campaign.

A last-minute scramble

“No, no, no, no!” said Omarosa Manigault, conceivably the a lot of acclaimed above “Apprentice” hopeful, who is now an about full-time apostle and Friend of Donald on cable television shows.

She was continuing abreast him in the lower antechamber of Trump Tower on Monday afternoon, talking to associates of the Trump “diversity coalition,” a accumulation formed by Mr. Trump’s longtime advisor Michael Cohen to, in part, break claims that the applicant is racially insensitive. Two of the associates were aggravating to block amid the tables amid Mr. Trump from the group. Ms. Manigault put a stop to it.

Mr. Trump was beholden for the support. “You attending at the added association running, they couldn’t affliction beneath about New York. We affliction about New York, a lot,” Mr. Trump said.

It was allotment of a active day for the candidates as they captivated their final attack contest afore the primary.

Several hours later, Mr. Sanders captivated a assemblage at the accessible acreage at Hunter’s Point South Esplanade in Continued Island City, Queens.

“You all attending beautiful!” Mr. Sanders, his articulation blatant at times, alleged out to the hundreds of humans who attended. (He drew 28,000 humans in Prospect Esplanade in Brooklyn on Sunday.)

The montage was absolutely beautiful, with accompaniment and American flags adorning the stage. Attendees lounged as the delicate strains of the Simon and Garfunkel hit “America” played on the complete arrangement afore Mr. Sanders arrived. Children played tag with an adult. A little babe angry cartwheels. But the esplanade was not abutting to abounding by 8 p.m.

No matter. Mr. Sanders batten to the army with his brand conviction. “People are continuing up and saying, ‘Sorry, the big money interests will not abide to boss American politics.’ ”

Where they are Tuesday

Only the New York residents, Mr. Trump and Mrs. Clinton, will adhere about the accompaniment on Tuesday. Both will vote, a lot of acceptable with report

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