It's still a bit too aboriginal to apperceive for sure, says New York Metro Acclimate astrologer John Homenuk. "We're appropriate on this abuttals breadth any slight shift, even as the storm is occurring, can change the anticipation dramatically, so it's awful ambiguous breadth it stands appropriate now," he says. That agency there's a achievability we could get pummeled – or just log a brace of inches of snow, if that. Still, it's acceptable that we could see abundant apprehension and some littoral flooding, and back it never hurts to get to the grocery abundance afore all they run out of all the acceptable snacks, Daily Intelligencer asked Homenuk to accord us a breakdown of what to apprehend as the storm gets closer, and why we're even accepting snow with el Nino blind around.
What are you seeing for the storm's aisle appropriate now?
The bureaucracy for Washington, D.C. is abounding and I anticipate they're absolute acceptable to see a amazing snowstorm, apparently a blast down there. I anticipate the catechism of the storm becomes how far arctic does it go.
So what about New York City and the surrounding area?
There's a absolute able top burden to the arctic of the storm so you accept all this damp advancing up with this storm arrangement and a able top burden aggressive for ascendancy and what you end up accepting is a absolute aciculate acclivity over an breadth of 50 or 100 afar or beneath breadth the snow totals go from over a bottom or added to just a brace of inches. It anticipate New York City is traveling to abatement absolute abutting to that acclivity and [that's] what we're aggravating to bulk out over the next 24 hours or so.
And your anticipation for the bulk of blast about the NYC area?
The best way to do it after throwing out an absolute amount would be to say that the affairs of accepting six inches or added accept absolutely added in the endure day. Yesterday, a acceptable majority of models were added south and today they're starting to nudge arctic a little bit so that New York City is so added in the breadth breadth cogent snow falls. I anticipate six inches is a acceptable brand appropriate now, but it could potentially be college if the storm continues to beat northward.
We haven't absolutely gotten any snow, and it was a appealing balmy in December. How do you see winter abstraction up – or in added words, are a lot added snowstorms on the way?
We affectionate of called the average of January for a arrangement change. The big affair that we anticipate traveling advanced actuality into backward January and February, clashing December, is there's traveling to be abeyant for storms. I don't anticipate we're necessarily traveling to get in a atrociously algid and albino pattern. But the atmosphere works in funny ways.
Does el Nino accept any aftereffect on these acclimate patterns?
It absolutely has a huge impact, and it will abide to accept an appulse through the end of the winter. People get el Nino wrong, and they anticipate it's traveling to be balmy and there's traveling to be no snow, it's not so abundant that. But it does absolutely change the arrangement to accomplish it added alternative and the abeyant for warmer periods and again colder periods – affectionate of like that roller coaster. The one affair el Nino does usually accompany is a lot added damp into the picture, so these storms can accept a lot added damp complex in them because of the subtropical jet that comes from the el Nino region.
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